Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Okposo shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Okposo 48.3% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 75.6%
Defensive zone
Matthews 68.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 65.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Matthews
Okposo
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Matthews
Okposo
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Okposo
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Okposo
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Okposo
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
50.5% (218)
+2.9%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
51.6% (31)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
19.2% (26)
+22.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Okposo shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Matthews shoots left. Okposo is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Matthews
Okposo
Home
56.5% (703)
48.8% (127)
Away
50.0% (616)
46.6% (148)
By Period
Matthews
Okposo
P1
52.1%
41.1%
P2
54.0%
44.2%
P3
54.0%
60.5%
Final 5 min
54.6%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 05:14 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |