Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Beniers 42.9% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 60.2%
Defensive zone
Beniers 51.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 51.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Matthews
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Matthews
Beniers
Last 8: Matthews 4-4 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Beniers
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
3
Matthews
Beniers
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Beniers
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
42.3% (879)
+10.4%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
40.3% (72)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
44.4% (18)
+30.6%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Beniers is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Matthews
Beniers
Home
54.8% (515)
43.8% (495)
Away
50.2% (534)
40.5% (474)
By Period
Matthews
Beniers
P1
54.4%
43.3%
P2
50.4%
45.6%
P3
51.8%
38.2%
OT
75.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
53.7%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 03:28 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |