Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Beniers 47.8% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 87.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 94.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 94.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 93.4%
93.4%
6.6%
Matthews
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Matthews
Beniers
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
2
Matthews
Beniers
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
3
Matthews
Beniers
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
0
Matthews
Beniers
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
48.3% (1,050)
+10.0%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
42.9% (105)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
43.6% (39)
+7.1%
On power play, Matthews has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Matthews
Beniers
Home
59.1% (528)
48.7% (630)
Away
55.1% (695)
46.5% (564)
By Period
Matthews
Beniers
P1
56.2%
49.2%
P2
58.1%
45.0%
P3
56.4%
49.3%
OT
50.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
55.5%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 03:02 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |