Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Beniers 47.6% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 81.4%
Defensive zone
Matthews 79.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 81.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Matthews
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Matthews
Beniers
Last 6: Matthews 4-2 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Matthews
Beniers
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Beniers
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Beniers
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
47.3% (945)
+6.1%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
51.7% (145)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
23.8% (21)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Beniers is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Home / Away
Matthews
Beniers
Home
56.5% (703)
49.6% (565)
Away
50.0% (616)
45.2% (546)
By Period
Matthews
Beniers
P1
52.1%
48.0%
P2
54.0%
49.0%
P3
54.0%
46.5%
OT
57.7%
23.5%
Final 5 min
54.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | OT | 03:55 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 13:24 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |