Auston Matthews vs Michael Rasmussen
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Rasmussen 49.1% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 50.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 53.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 50.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Matthews
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Matthews
Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Rasmussen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
1
Matthews
Rasmussen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Rasmussen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
48.1% (108)
+5.3%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
60.0% (5)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
42.9% (7)
-1.0%
On power play, Matthews has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Rasmussen is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Matthews
Rasmussen
Home
56.5% (703)
50.8% (63)
Away
50.0% (616)
45.6% (57)
By Period
Matthews
Rasmussen
P1
52.1%
48.8%
P2
54.0%
48.9%
P3
54.0%
45.5%
OT
57.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2023 | 3 | 15:15 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 3 | 09:03 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |