Auston Matthews vs Michael Rasmussen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Rasmussen 48.3% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 88.6%
Defensive zone
Matthews 63.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 81.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Matthews
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Matthews
Rasmussen
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Matthews
Rasmussen
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews
Rasmussen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Rasmussen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
48.3% (1,870)
+5.7%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
53.9% (154)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
41.5% (147)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,349).
Home / Away
Matthews
Rasmussen
Home
56.3% (5,065)
48.4% (1,087)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
48.1% (1,084)
By Period
Matthews
Rasmussen
P1
55.5%
47.8%
P2
53.3%
49.5%
P3
52.8%
47.0%
OT
56.6%
59.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 3 | 15:15 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 3 | 09:03 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 08:19 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |