Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Hischier 51.9% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 59.5%
Defensive zone
Hischier 67.5%
Neutral zone
Hischier 61.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Matthews
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Matthews
Hischier
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
7
5
Matthews
Hischier
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
5
Matthews
Hischier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
3
Matthews
Hischier
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
51.0% (1,011)
+5.3%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
58.2% (261)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
47.7% (130)
+2.3%
On even strength, Matthews has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Hischier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (858).
Home / Away
Matthews
Hischier
Home
60.7% (572)
52.8% (665)
Away
52.4% (657)
51.4% (737)
By Period
Matthews
Hischier
P1
60.3%
53.8%
P2
55.6%
53.8%
P3
53.3%
49.5%
OT
45.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:20 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |