Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bäck shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Bäck 48.7% (+13.4%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 51.1%
Defensive zone
Bäck 51.1%
Neutral zone
Bäck 52.4%
Result
Oskar Bäck favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Matthews
Bäck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Bäck
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
51.2% (43)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
27.3% (11)
+29.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bäck shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Bäck is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Home / Away
Matthews
Bäck
Home
60.0% (520)
71.4% (21)
Away
59.3% (452)
30.3% (33)
By Period
Matthews
Bäck
P1
60.2%
45.5%
P2
58.2%
56.5%
P3
60.4%
22.2%
Final 5 min
57.6%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Bäck
44.0%▼
52.0%
46.3%