Auston Matthews vs Phillip Danault
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Danault 51.7% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 52.7%
Defensive zone
Danault 65.3%
Neutral zone
Danault 59.3%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Matthews
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Matthews
Danault
Last 6: Matthews 2-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Matthews
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
3
Matthews
Danault
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
52.6% (895)
+0.8%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
55.7% (97)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
45.5% (165)
-3.6%
On power play, Matthews has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Danault is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (787).
Home / Away
Matthews
Danault
Home
56.5% (703)
54.0% (581)
Away
50.0% (616)
49.7% (576)
By Period
Matthews
Danault
P1
52.1%
53.7%
P2
54.0%
55.3%
P3
54.0%
46.5%
OT
57.7%
46.2%
Final 5 min
54.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 3 | 08:25 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |