Auston Matthews vs Phillip Danault
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Danault 52.1% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 78.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 72.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 66.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Matthews
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Matthews
Danault
Last 9: Matthews 6-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews
Danault
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
52.4% (958)
+5.9%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
62.0% (71)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
47.6% (187)
+3.1%
On power play, Danault has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Danault is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Matthews
Danault
Home
59.1% (528)
51.2% (605)
Away
55.1% (695)
53.2% (611)
By Period
Matthews
Danault
P1
56.2%
53.1%
P2
58.1%
49.8%
P3
56.4%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:02 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:51 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |