Auston Matthews vs Phillip Danault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Danault 54.8% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 53.8%
Defensive zone
Danault 67.6%
Neutral zone
Danault 60.1%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Matthews
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Matthews
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Matthews
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
56.5% (711)
+3.3%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
46.0% (50)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
51.7% (116)
+4.6%
On power play, Matthews has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Matthews
Danault
Home
60.0% (520)
57.0% (379)
Away
59.3% (452)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Matthews
Danault
P1
60.2%
55.8%
P2
58.2%
55.3%
P3
60.4%
54.8%
OT
70.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |