Auston Matthews vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Dubois 49.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 83.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 82.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 82.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Matthews
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Matthews
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Dubois
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
49.3% (842)
+4.1%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
57.1% (35)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
55.6% (9)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Matthews
Dubois
Home
56.5% (703)
51.0% (445)
Away
50.0% (616)
48.3% (441)
By Period
Matthews
Dubois
P1
52.1%
50.3%
P2
54.0%
49.5%
P3
54.0%
49.0%
OT
57.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.6%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 05:32 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |