Auston Matthews vs Pierre-Luc Dubois

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Auston Matthews holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Matthews 56.3% vs Dubois 49.7% (+7.1%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Matthews 84.0%
Defensive zone Matthews 89.8%
Neutral zone Matthews 88.4%
Result Auston Matthews favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Matthews Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 2 (8 meetings)
6
2
Matthews Dubois
Last 8: Matthews 6-2 Dubois

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews Dubois
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews Dubois
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews Dubois
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Matthews
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
49.8% (1,064)
+8.5%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
46.3% (67)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
53.3% (30)
-2.6%
On power play, Matthews has a +9.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Dubois is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Home / Away
Matthews
Dubois
Home
59.1% (528)
48.3% (582)
Away
55.1% (695)
51.1% (579)
By Period
Matthews
Dubois
P1
56.2%
52.0%
P2
58.1%
49.9%
P3
56.4%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
55.5%
51.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%
64.0%
56.8%
Dubois
44.0%
51.0%
49.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 6, 2024 3 11:23 Offensive Auston Matthews
Dec 6, 2024 3 09:28 Defensive Pierre-Luc Dubois
Dec 6, 2024 3 04:38 Defensive Auston Matthews
Dec 6, 2024 3 01:14 Defensive Auston Matthews
Dec 6, 2024 2 19:31 Defensive Pierre-Luc Dubois
Dec 6, 2024 2 12:50 Offensive Auston Matthews
Dec 6, 2024 2 08:48 Neutral Auston Matthews
Dec 6, 2024 2 00:11 Offensive Auston Matthews