Auston Matthews vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Dubois 49.4% (+10.5%)
Offensive zone
Dubois 54.6%
Defensive zone
Matthews 53.4%
Neutral zone
Dubois 53.9%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Matthews
Dubois
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
46.2% (225)
+13.6%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
66.7% (27)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
75.0% (8)
-18.7%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Dubois is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Matthews
Dubois
Home
60.0% (520)
46.6% (163)
Away
59.3% (452)
53.6% (97)
By Period
Matthews
Dubois
P1
60.2%
45.0%
P2
58.2%
52.3%
P3
60.4%
50.5%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.2%