Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Kupari 44.4% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 83.4%
Defensive zone
Matthews 84.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 81.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Matthews
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Matthews
Kupari
Last 6: Matthews 4-2 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Kupari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Kupari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Kupari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
42.9% (275)
+13.4%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
35.7% (14)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
42.9% (14)
+7.1%
On power play, Matthews has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Kupari is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Matthews
Kupari
Home
60.7% (572)
46.6% (163)
Away
52.4% (657)
37.9% (140)
By Period
Matthews
Kupari
P1
60.3%
38.7%
P2
55.6%
42.5%
P3
53.3%
47.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2021 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 2 | 08:51 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |