Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Kupari 47.9% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 81.4%
Defensive zone
Matthews 63.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 67.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Matthews
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Matthews
Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Kupari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
47.2% (144)
+6.2%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
0.0% (1)
+65.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
45.5% (22)
-3.6%
On power play, Matthews has a +65.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Matthews shoots left. Kupari is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Matthews
Kupari
Home
56.5% (703)
48.3% (87)
Away
50.0% (616)
45.0% (80)
By Period
Matthews
Kupari
P1
52.1%
48.5%
P2
54.0%
41.3%
P3
54.0%
49.1%
Final 5 min
54.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |