Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Kupari 52.1% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 81.4%
Defensive zone
Kupari 55.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 61.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Matthews
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Matthews
Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Kupari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Kupari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
53.5% (413)
+4.8%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
0.0% (1)
+55.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
48.2% (85)
+2.5%
On power play, Matthews has a +55.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Matthews is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Matthews shoots left. Kupari is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Matthews
Kupari
Home
59.1% (528)
52.1% (257)
Away
55.1% (695)
52.9% (242)
By Period
Matthews
Kupari
P1
56.2%
50.6%
P2
58.1%
53.6%
P3
56.4%
53.3%
Final 5 min
55.5%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 07:36 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 02:31 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |