Auston Matthews vs Reese Johnson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.7% vs Johnson 51.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 82.8%
Defensive zone
Johnson 81.6%
Neutral zone
Johnson 56.3%
Result
Reese Johnson favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Matthews
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Matthews
Johnson
Last 9: Matthews 4-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
4
Matthews
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (9,165)
53.5% (434)
+0.3%
Power Play
55.5% (528)
80.0% (5)
-24.5%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (466)
40.7% (81)
+9.1%
On power play, Johnson has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Matthews is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,654).
Matthews shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Matthews
Johnson
Home
56.3% (5,020)
50.8% (252)
Away
51.2% (5,139)
52.6% (268)
By Period
Matthews
Johnson
P1
55.2%
52.1%
P2
53.3%
47.4%
P3
52.6%
56.4%
OT
56.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.7%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 15:31 | Offensive | Reese Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2021 | OT | 01:41 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |