Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 55.4%). Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Johansen 55.1% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 53.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 62.6%
Neutral zone
Matthews 53.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Matthews
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Matthews
Johansen
Last 7: Matthews 2-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Matthews
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Matthews
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (613)
55.9% (1,157)
-1.4%
Power Play
52.9% (68)
56.5% (237)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
43.3% (67)
+28.1%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Matthews is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Matthews shoots left. Johansen is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,004).
Home / Away
Matthews
Johansen
Home
59.8% (351)
55.8% (733)
Away
49.0% (337)
55.1% (728)
By Period
Matthews
Johansen
P1
58.0%
53.5%
P2
49.6%
55.9%
P3
55.4%
57.2%
OT
83.3%
47.4%
Final 5 min
56.4%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
54.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |