Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Johansen 58.2% (-6.8%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 51.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 52.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 55.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Matthews
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
59.8% (625)
-7.1%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
58.2% (196)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
51.9% (27)
+23.1%
On power play, Johansen has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Matthews
Johansen
Home
54.8% (515)
60.3% (436)
Away
50.2% (534)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Matthews
Johansen
P1
54.4%
61.3%
P2
50.4%
60.4%
P3
51.8%
56.0%
OT
75.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%