Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Johansen 52.4% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 54.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 59.6%
Neutral zone
Matthews 56.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Matthews
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Matthews
Johansen
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
4
Matthews
Johansen
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
49.4% (1,010)
+6.9%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
62.3% (236)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
67.2% (67)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Matthews
Johansen
Home
60.7% (572)
54.7% (655)
Away
52.4% (657)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Matthews
Johansen
P1
60.3%
52.2%
P2
55.6%
50.7%
P3
53.3%
54.8%
OT
45.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:04 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 02:47 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 16:52 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 06:27 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 10:44 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |