Auston Matthews vs Steven Stamkos
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 47.1% vs Stamkos 52.3% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 72.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 73.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 54.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Matthews
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Matthews
Stamkos
Last 6: Matthews 3-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Matthews
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,000)
54.7% (179)
-8.5%
Power Play
53.6% (125)
50.0% (4)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
40.0% (15)
-25.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Matthews is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Matthews shoots left. Stamkos is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (128).
Home / Away
Matthews
Stamkos
Home
48.4% (562)
57.4% (108)
Away
45.3% (570)
48.9% (90)
By Period
Matthews
Stamkos
P1
51.3%
53.4%
P2
44.5%
51.7%
P3
44.6%
55.6%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
46.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 16:46 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 07:15 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 00:32 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |