Auston Matthews vs Steven Stamkos
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Stamkos 50.9% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 64.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 70.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 63.3%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Matthews
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Matthews
Stamkos
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Matthews
Stamkos
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
5
Matthews
Stamkos
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
49.3% (789)
+7.0%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
56.9% (181)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
54.1% (98)
-4.1%
On even strength, Matthews has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Matthews
Stamkos
Home
60.7% (572)
52.0% (512)
Away
52.4% (657)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Matthews
Stamkos
P1
60.3%
42.1%
P2
55.6%
56.4%
P3
53.3%
53.7%
OT
45.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 07:37 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |