Who wins more faceoffs, Auston Matthews or Steven Stamkos?

Auston Matthews leads the head-to-head 5-3 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Auston Matthews's faceoff record against Steven Stamkos?

Auston Matthews is 5-3 against Steven Stamkos in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-0, Defensive 2-2, Neutral 2-1.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Auston Matthews or Steven Stamkos?

Auston Matthews is the predicted winner with a 52.7% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Auston Matthews vs Steven Stamkos

Auston MatthewsL vs Steven StamkosR

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Steven Stamkos holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Matthews 53.2% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-2.6%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Stamkos 52.4%

Defensive zone Matthews 59.9%

Neutral zone Stamkos 55.2%

Result Auston Matthews favored at 52.7%

52.7%

47.3%

Matthews Stamkos

Head-to-Head Record

5 - 3 (8 meetings)

Matthews Stamkos

Last 8: Matthews 5-3 Stamkos

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Matthews

Matthews Stamkos

1 total

Defensive Zone

Even

Matthews Stamkos

4 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Matthews

Matthews Stamkos

3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Matthews

Stamkos

Edge

Even Strength

53.4% (1,169)

55.9% (499)

-2.5%

Power Play

65.8% (76)

56.3% (126)

+9.5%

Penalty Kill

41.9% (74)

58.3% (12)

-16.4%

On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +16.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Stamkos shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).

Matthews shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).

Home / Away

Matthews

Stamkos

Home

56.5% (703)

55.3% (349)

Away

50.0% (616)

56.9% (288)

By Period

Matthews

Stamkos

52.1%

57.0%

54.0%

59.2%

54.0%

51.5%

57.7%

55.6%

Final 5 min

54.6%

56.7%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Matthews

70.0%▲

64.0%

53.4%

Stamkos

54.0%▬

55.0%

56.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Apr 17, 2024	1	14:46	Defensive	Steven Stamkos
Apr 3, 2024	3	15:41	Neutral	Auston Matthews
Apr 3, 2024	2	07:39	Defensive	Auston Matthews
Apr 3, 2024	2	00:00	Neutral	Auston Matthews
Nov 6, 2023	1	07:18	Offensive	Auston Matthews
Oct 21, 2023	2	12:51	Defensive	Steven Stamkos
Oct 21, 2023	2	10:25	Neutral	Steven Stamkos
Oct 21, 2023	2	05:25	Defensive	Auston Matthews

Matthews's Profile | Stamkos's Profile