Who wins more faceoffs, Auston Matthews or Steven Stamkos?

Steven Stamkos leads the head-to-head 6-2 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Auston Matthews's faceoff record against Steven Stamkos?

Auston Matthews is 2-6 against Steven Stamkos in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 0-2, Defensive 2-1, Neutral 0-3.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Auston Matthews or Steven Stamkos?

Steven Stamkos is the predicted winner with a 75.0% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Auston Matthews vs Steven Stamkos

Auston MatthewsL vs Steven StamkosR

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Auston Matthews holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Matthews 56.3% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+6.9%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Stamkos 93.2%

Defensive zone Stamkos 59.4%

Neutral zone Stamkos 78.3%

Result Steven Stamkos favored at 75.0%

25.0%

75.0%

Matthews Stamkos

Head-to-Head Record

2 - 6 (8 meetings)

Matthews Stamkos

Last 8: Matthews 2-6 Stamkos

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Stamkos

Matthews Stamkos

2 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Matthews

Matthews Stamkos

3 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Stamkos

Matthews Stamkos

3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Matthews

Stamkos

Edge

Even Strength

58.3% (943)

49.3% (670)

+9.0%

Power Play

55.7% (61)

53.7% (121)

+2.0%

Penalty Kill

50.7% (219)

33.3% (3)

+17.4%

On penalty kill, Matthews has a +17.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Stamkos shoots right. Matthews is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).

Matthews shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).

Home / Away

Matthews

Stamkos

Home

59.1% (528)

54.0% (400)

Away

55.1% (695)

45.7% (394)

By Period

Matthews

Stamkos

56.2%

48.6%

58.1%

54.5%

56.4%

45.4%

50.0%

100.0%

Final 5 min

55.5%

46.9%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Matthews

70.0%▲

64.0%

56.8%

Stamkos

54.0%▬

55.0%

49.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Mar 22, 2025	2	00:00	Neutral	Steven Stamkos
Mar 22, 2025	1	19:23	Defensive	Steven Stamkos
Dec 4, 2024	3	18:39	Defensive	Auston Matthews
Dec 4, 2024	2	11:56	Neutral	Steven Stamkos
Dec 4, 2024	2	08:46	Offensive	Steven Stamkos
Dec 4, 2024	2	02:00	Offensive	Steven Stamkos
Dec 4, 2024	1	17:32	Neutral	Steven Stamkos
Dec 4, 2024	1	06:08	Defensive	Auston Matthews

Matthews's Profile | Stamkos's Profile