Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Blueger 48.1% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 63.9%
Defensive zone
Blueger 68.4%
Neutral zone
Blueger 59.5%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Matthews
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Matthews
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Matthews
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
50.2% (223)
+9.6%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
62.5% (8)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
31.9% (47)
+24.4%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Blueger is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Matthews
Blueger
Home
60.0% (520)
50.0% (192)
Away
59.3% (452)
41.9% (86)
By Period
Matthews
Blueger
P1
60.2%
46.2%
P2
58.2%
51.5%
P3
60.4%
43.2%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 14:45 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |