Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Blueger 52.7% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Blueger leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 53.7%
Defensive zone
Blueger 91.4%
Neutral zone
Blueger 74.5%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Matthews
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
13
(18 meetings)
5
13
Matthews
Blueger
Last 10: Matthews 2-8 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews
Blueger
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
4
Matthews
Blueger
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
2
7
Matthews
Blueger
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
53.9% (529)
+2.4%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
50.0% (6)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
50.4% (137)
-0.4%
On power play, Matthews has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Blueger is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Matthews
Blueger
Home
60.7% (572)
54.3% (335)
Away
52.4% (657)
51.9% (337)
By Period
Matthews
Blueger
P1
60.3%
50.3%
P2
55.6%
55.2%
P3
53.3%
53.5%
OT
45.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 12:44 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |