Who wins more faceoffs, Auston Matthews or Trevor Zegras?

Auston Matthews leads the head-to-head 7-1 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Auston Matthews's faceoff record against Trevor Zegras?

Auston Matthews is 7-1 against Trevor Zegras in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 2-0, Defensive 4-0, Neutral 1-1.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Auston Matthews or Trevor Zegras?

Auston Matthews is the predicted winner with a 96.6% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Auston Matthews vs Trevor Zegras

Auston MatthewsL vs Trevor ZegrasL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Auston Matthews holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Matthews 53.9% vs Zegras 39.2% (+15.3%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Matthews 92.5%

Defensive zone Matthews 98.4%

Neutral zone Matthews 96.9%

Result Auston Matthews favored at 96.6%

96.6%

3.4%

Matthews Zegras

Head-to-Head Record

7 - 1 (8 meetings)

Matthews Zegras

Last 8: Matthews 7-1 Zegras

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Matthews

Matthews Zegras

2 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Matthews

Matthews Zegras

4 total

Neutral Zone

Even

Matthews Zegras

2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Matthews

Zegras

Edge

Even Strength

54.0% (9,298)

38.6% (1,669)

+15.4%

Power Play

55.5% (530)

38.5% (148)

+17.0%

Penalty Kill

49.8% (482)

28.6% (7)

+21.2%

On penalty kill, Matthews has a +21.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Zegras shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).

Matthews shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).

Home / Away

Matthews

Zegras

Home

56.3% (5,065)

39.9% (882)

Away

51.5% (5,245)

37.4% (942)

By Period

Matthews

Zegras

55.5%

40.2%

53.3%

38.0%

52.8%

37.7%

56.6%

31.6%

Final 5 min

54.1%

40.3%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Matthews

70.0%▲

64.0%

53.9%

Zegras

16.0%▼

26.5%

38.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Nov 1, 2025	2	17:34	Neutral	Trevor Zegras
Nov 1, 2025	1	06:46	Offensive	Auston Matthews
Dec 13, 2022	1	17:33	Defensive	Auston Matthews
Jan 26, 2022	3	11:16	Neutral	Auston Matthews
Jan 26, 2022	3	07:11	Defensive	Auston Matthews
Jan 26, 2022	3	00:48	Offensive	Auston Matthews
Jan 26, 2022	2	00:37	Defensive	Auston Matthews
Nov 28, 2021	1	07:58	Defensive	Auston Matthews

Matthews's Profile | Zegras's Profile