Auston Matthews vs Vincent Trocheck
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Matthews wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 60.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 56.0%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 55.6%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Matthews
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Matthews
Trocheck
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
3
5
Matthews
Trocheck
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
3
Matthews
Trocheck
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
3
Matthews
Trocheck
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
59.6% (1,032)
-1.3%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
62.1% (253)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
55.4% (249)
-4.7%
On power play, Trocheck has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Matthews is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Matthews shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Matthews
Trocheck
Home
59.1% (528)
61.7% (786)
Away
55.1% (695)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Matthews
Trocheck
P1
56.2%
61.7%
P2
58.1%
58.8%
P3
56.4%
57.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:15 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:28 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |