Auston Matthews vs Vincent Trocheck
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.2%). Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 37 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Trocheck 54.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 47-43 in 90 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 52.7%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 62.0%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 52.3%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Matthews
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
43
(90 meetings)
47
43
Matthews
Trocheck
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
24
13
Matthews
Trocheck
37 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
15
19
Matthews
Trocheck
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
8
11
Matthews
Trocheck
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
53.7% (10,904)
+0.3%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
60.8% (1,856)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
49.6% (1,461)
+0.2%
On power play, Trocheck has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Trocheck is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,884).
Home / Away
Matthews
Trocheck
Home
56.3% (5,065)
56.3% (7,114)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
52.2% (7,107)
By Period
Matthews
Trocheck
P1
55.5%
54.1%
P2
53.3%
54.7%
P3
52.8%
54.0%
OT
56.6%
52.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:15 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:28 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |