Auston Matthews vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Trocheck 56.0% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 53.1%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 52.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 50.3%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Matthews
Trocheck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
57.8% (626)
+2.0%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
63.6% (151)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
44.0% (141)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Matthews
Trocheck
Home
60.0% (520)
54.4% (390)
Away
59.3% (452)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Matthews
Trocheck
P1
60.2%
56.4%
P2
58.2%
58.7%
P3
60.4%
54.8%
OT
70.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%