Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.3% vs Tavares 54.9% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 61.9%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 86.5%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 62.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Goodrow
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Goodrow
Tavares
Last 7: Goodrow 2-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
4
Goodrow
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Goodrow
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (535)
54.8% (861)
-2.5%
Power Play
36.4% (55)
57.5% (226)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (209)
51.7% (29)
-7.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Goodrow is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Goodrow shoots left. Tavares is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Tavares
Home
52.9% (361)
58.1% (559)
Away
46.1% (438)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Goodrow
Tavares
P1
48.4%
57.6%
P2
48.1%
55.5%
P3
51.1%
52.0%
OT
33.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 07:10 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |