Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Goodrow wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 44.9% vs Tavares 57.7% (-15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 65.1%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 52.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Goodrow
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Goodrow
Tavares
Last 5: Goodrow 2-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Goodrow
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (146)
57.7% (998)
-7.7%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
60.5% (271)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (79)
56.4% (39)
-26.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Goodrow is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Goodrow shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Tavares
Home
40.0% (130)
59.7% (610)
Away
45.9% (122)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Goodrow
Tavares
P1
48.8%
57.2%
P2
35.0%
58.5%
P3
44.8%
59.4%
OT
33.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
45.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
42.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | OT | 01:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | OT | 00:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |