Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Goodrow wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs Tavares 59.8% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 62.7%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 93.1%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 75.9%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Goodrow
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Goodrow
Tavares
Last 7: Goodrow 0-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
6
Goodrow
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Goodrow
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
60.9% (1,043)
-11.6%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
60.4% (278)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
47.6% (21)
-1.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Goodrow is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Goodrow shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Tavares
Home
50.6% (385)
63.5% (684)
Away
48.0% (356)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Goodrow
Tavares
P1
49.1%
60.3%
P2
46.9%
60.4%
P3
52.3%
60.1%
OT
0.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 14:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |