Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Goodrow wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs Tavares 58.7% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 83.5%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 80.4%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 56.0%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Goodrow
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Goodrow
Tavares
Last 10: Goodrow 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Goodrow
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
1
Goodrow
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Goodrow
Tavares
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
59.2% (1,035)
-3.7%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
60.0% (310)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
42.9% (7)
+1.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Goodrow is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Goodrow shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Tavares
Home
57.2% (332)
57.5% (668)
Away
50.3% (292)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Goodrow
Tavares
P1
50.8%
58.0%
P2
59.5%
60.1%
P3
51.8%
61.0%
OT
50.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
53.7%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
54.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:24 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 15:08 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |