Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Goodrow wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs Staal 56.8% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 54.0%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 66.9%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 60.5%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Goodrow
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Goodrow
Staal
Last 8: Goodrow 3-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Goodrow
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
58.9% (1,041)
-9.6%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
53.4% (73)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
49.1% (171)
-2.9%
On power play, Goodrow has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Goodrow is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Goodrow shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Staal
Home
50.6% (385)
59.0% (578)
Away
48.0% (356)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Goodrow
Staal
P1
49.1%
57.1%
P2
46.9%
60.9%
P3
52.3%
55.8%
OT
0.0%
20.8%
Final 5 min
48.3%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |