Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Goodrow wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 46.5% vs Staal 55.3% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 51.2%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 53.9%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 51.9%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Goodrow
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Goodrow
Staal
Last 7: Goodrow 3-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Goodrow
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
0
Goodrow
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (472)
56.3% (1,115)
-9.5%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
61.2% (67)
-21.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
52.1% (292)
-9.4%
On power play, Staal has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Goodrow is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Goodrow shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Staal
Home
44.3% (314)
58.3% (705)
Away
47.7% (279)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Goodrow
Staal
P1
46.8%
54.5%
P2
44.0%
58.2%
P3
47.1%
54.1%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
45.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |