Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs Staal 57.6% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 59.5%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 55.9%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 54.2%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Goodrow
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Goodrow
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Goodrow
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Goodrow
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
58.9% (1,096)
-3.4%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
68.4% (57)
-35.1%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
51.8% (222)
-7.2%
On power play, Staal has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Goodrow is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Goodrow shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Staal
Home
57.2% (332)
57.0% (646)
Away
50.3% (292)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Goodrow
Staal
P1
50.8%
55.9%
P2
59.5%
55.4%
P3
51.8%
62.0%
OT
50.0%
70.4%
Final 5 min
53.7%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
54.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |