Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Goodrow wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 46.5% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 61.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 69.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 56.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Goodrow
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Goodrow
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
3
0
Goodrow
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (472)
49.4% (867)
-2.6%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
56.0% (25)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
40.7% (216)
+2.0%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Goodrow is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Goodrow shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Bjugstad
Home
44.3% (314)
46.5% (480)
Away
47.7% (279)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Goodrow
Bjugstad
P1
46.8%
48.7%
P2
44.0%
45.6%
P3
47.1%
49.1%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
45.9%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 18:07 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:54 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |