Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 44.9% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 71.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 54.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Goodrow
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Goodrow
Bjugstad
Last 5: Goodrow 5-0 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
0
Goodrow
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
0
Goodrow
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (146)
46.7% (398)
+3.3%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
51.6% (31)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (79)
62.5% (8)
-32.1%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Goodrow is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Goodrow shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Bjugstad
Home
40.0% (130)
47.3% (220)
Away
45.9% (122)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Goodrow
Bjugstad
P1
48.8%
46.1%
P2
35.0%
46.3%
P3
44.8%
50.4%
Final 5 min
45.9%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
42.9%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 11:40 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |