Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 70.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 68.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 65.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Goodrow
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Goodrow
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Goodrow
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
50.7% (906)
+4.8%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
48.1% (108)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
44.4% (239)
+0.2%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Goodrow is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Goodrow shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Bjugstad
Home
57.2% (332)
49.8% (643)
Away
50.3% (292)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Goodrow
Bjugstad
P1
50.8%
49.4%
P2
59.5%
50.5%
P3
51.8%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
54.0%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 05:45 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:18 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |