Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs Paul 50.4% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 51.4%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 51.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.4%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Goodrow
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Goodrow
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
53.0% (644)
-3.7%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
37.5% (24)
+27.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
42.9% (177)
+3.3%
On power play, Goodrow has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Goodrow is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Goodrow shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Paul
Home
50.6% (385)
52.5% (516)
Away
48.0% (356)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Goodrow
Paul
P1
49.1%
47.6%
P2
46.9%
48.4%
P3
52.3%
54.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Nick Paul |