Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.8% vs Paul 53.3% (-12.4%)
Offensive zone
Paul 54.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 61.7%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 50.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Goodrow
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
53.2% (327)
-13.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
61.4% (57)
-28.1%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
50.0% (32)
+10.0%
On power play, Paul has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Goodrow is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Goodrow shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Paul
Home
36.0% (25)
54.6% (183)
Away
54.5% (11)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Goodrow
Paul
P1
46.2%
56.3%
P2
30.8%
54.8%
P3
50.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
22.2%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
41.7%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%