Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 46.5% vs Paul 53.4% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 53.4%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 52.0%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.8%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Goodrow
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Goodrow
Paul
Last 6: Goodrow 3-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
0
Goodrow
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Goodrow
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (472)
53.8% (753)
-7.0%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
58.9% (90)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
47.4% (78)
-4.7%
On power play, Paul has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Goodrow is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Goodrow shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Paul
Home
44.3% (314)
54.2% (450)
Away
47.7% (279)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Goodrow
Paul
P1
46.8%
58.2%
P2
44.0%
50.6%
P3
47.1%
52.9%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
45.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 08:56 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:25 | Neutral | Nick Paul |