Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 50.3% vs Zacha 49.1% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 77.5%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 61.2%
Neutral zone
Zacha 60.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Goodrow
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Goodrow
Zacha
Last 10: Goodrow 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
4
Goodrow
Zacha
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
7
Goodrow
Zacha
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (3,091)
48.9% (5,102)
+3.4%
Power Play
46.7% (180)
55.6% (804)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (940)
42.2% (555)
+2.2%
On power play, Zacha has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Goodrow is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,655).
Goodrow shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Zacha
Home
51.9% (2,109)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
48.8% (2,102)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Goodrow
Zacha
P1
50.5%
49.9%
P2
49.2%
49.2%
P3
51.3%
48.1%
OT
35.7%
53.1%
Final 5 min
50.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
50.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 04:38 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:49 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |