Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 50.1%). Goodrow wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs Zacha 50.1% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 70.4%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 76.8%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 51.4%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Goodrow
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Goodrow
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Goodrow
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
48.0% (296)
+1.3%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
61.0% (59)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
50.0% (22)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Goodrow is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Goodrow shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Zacha
Home
50.6% (385)
48.9% (223)
Away
48.0% (356)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Goodrow
Zacha
P1
49.1%
47.9%
P2
46.9%
48.3%
P3
52.3%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |