Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.9% vs 45.3%). Goodrow wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 46.5% vs Zacha 46.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 66.1%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 74.9%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 55.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Goodrow
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Goodrow
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (472)
45.3% (247)
+1.5%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
58.1% (31)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
22.2% (18)
+20.5%
On penalty kill, Goodrow has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Goodrow is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Goodrow shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Zacha
Home
44.3% (314)
39.7% (131)
Away
47.7% (279)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Goodrow
Zacha
P1
46.8%
42.9%
P2
44.0%
46.4%
P3
47.1%
42.3%
OT
40.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
43.2%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
45.9%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |