Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 44.9% vs Zacha 52.8% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 80.6%
Defensive zone
Zacha 52.2%
Neutral zone
Zacha 65.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Goodrow
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Goodrow
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (146)
54.1% (534)
-4.1%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
56.0% (109)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (79)
44.8% (96)
-14.4%
On power play, Zacha has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Goodrow is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Goodrow shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Zacha
Home
40.0% (130)
53.4% (406)
Away
45.9% (122)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Goodrow
Zacha
P1
48.8%
56.8%
P2
35.0%
53.6%
P3
44.8%
49.2%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
42.9%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |