Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.1%). Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Hayton 51.0% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 52.9%
Defensive zone
Hayton 60.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 59.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Henrique
Hayton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Henrique
Hayton
Last 10: Henrique 2-8 Hayton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
6
Henrique
Hayton
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
4
Henrique
Hayton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hayton
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
51.0% (937)
+0.9%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
56.1% (164)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
45.0% (129)
-2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayton shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hayton
Home
53.1% (339)
54.6% (639)
Away
49.1% (330)
47.2% (591)
By Period
Henrique
Hayton
P1
48.5%
50.9%
P2
48.6%
52.7%
P3
54.2%
49.9%
OT
70.6%
41.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 28, 2023 | OT | 02:02 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:06 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |