Auston Matthews vs Barrett Hayton

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Auston Matthews holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayton shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Matthews 58.8% vs Hayton 52.7% (+6.6%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Hayton 78.1%
Defensive zone Hayton 85.2%
Neutral zone Hayton 79.7%
Result Barrett Hayton favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
Matthews Hayton
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 7 (9 meetings)
2
7
Matthews Hayton
Last 9: Matthews 2-7 Hayton

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
0
4
Matthews Hayton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
0
2
Matthews Hayton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews Hayton
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Matthews
Hayton
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
52.9% (628)
+6.9%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
57.3% (110)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
36.8% (19)
+19.5%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +19.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Hayton shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Hayton is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Home / Away
Matthews
Hayton
Home
60.0% (520)
57.9% (413)
Away
59.3% (452)
47.4% (344)
By Period
Matthews
Hayton
P1
60.2%
53.4%
P2
58.2%
50.9%
P3
60.4%
55.6%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
59.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%
64.0%
59.7%
Hayton
54.0%
53.0%
53.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 13, 2026 2 03:58 Defensive Barrett Hayton
Jan 13, 2026 1 07:37 Defensive Barrett Hayton
Jan 13, 2026 1 05:05 Offensive Barrett Hayton
Nov 5, 2025 3 18:53 Neutral Barrett Hayton
Nov 5, 2025 3 10:42 Offensive Barrett Hayton
Nov 5, 2025 2 19:09 Offensive Barrett Hayton
Nov 5, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Auston Matthews
Nov 5, 2025 1 18:49 Neutral Auston Matthews
Nov 5, 2025 1 05:34 Offensive Barrett Hayton