Auston Matthews vs Barrett Hayton
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Hayton 52.4% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 82.6%
Defensive zone
Hayton 87.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 83.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 83.9%
16.1%
83.9%
Matthews
Hayton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Matthews
Hayton
Last 9: Matthews 2-7 Hayton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
0
4
Matthews
Hayton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
0
2
Matthews
Hayton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Hayton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Hayton
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
52.5% (646)
+7.3%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
56.8% (111)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
36.8% (19)
+19.5%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayton shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Home / Away
Matthews
Hayton
Home
60.0% (520)
56.9% (432)
Away
59.3% (452)
47.4% (344)
By Period
Matthews
Hayton
P1
60.2%
53.1%
P2
58.2%
50.3%
P3
60.4%
55.4%
OT
70.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |